Background information

How Apple TV+ is changing its strategy

Luca Fontana
21.5.2020
Translation: Eva Francis

Apple TV+ wants to be more like Netflix and Amazon Prime and is, as is reported, introducing third-party content. Tom Hanks’ upcoming movie «Greyhound» could be the first licensed movie.

A change of course seems to be happening in Cupertino, California. This is what the media company Bloomberg has reported. Apparently, the Californians don’t only want to offer their own productions – originals – on Apple TV+, but also licensed films and series produced by third parties.

This would make Apple's streaming business model much more similar to what Netflix and Amazon Prime offer. The latter have always included originals as well as thousands of third-party films and series, made possible with investments in the millions. By comparison, Apple TV+, which was launched last November, only offers 30 in-house productions.

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An insider report by deadline journalist Mike Fleming Jr. supports Bloomberg's rumour. According to this, Apple TV+ is said to have secured the exclusive distribution rights to the upcoming Tom Hanks film «Greyhound». The film should have been released on 12 June 2020,

but the plans seem to have changed.

The problem ahead

What does Apple's change of plan mean? It’s possible that the Californians are worried they might not be able to keep their 33 million subscribers happy with their current streaming catalogue in the long term.

As a reminder, Apple launched its new iPhone and iPad products last autumn – almost simultaneously with Apple TV+. Anyone who bought an Apple product back then got a year of Apple TV+ for free. This mean most of the 33 million subscribers aren’t paying customers.

That's not the problem, as the free year of Apple TV+ free year probably served to boost sales of Apple equipment. A marketing investment, so to speak. I called it the «most expensive customer loyalty programme ever» at the time. After all, Apple invested 6 billion dollars in its own productions.

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The problem is that most people’s free year expires in autumn. Whether they will be willing to pay 4.99 dollars a month for Apple TV+, which frankly doesn’t have a huge selection, depends on the competition. And the competition is major: Disney+ has reached more than 50 million paying subscribers in almost the same period as Apple. HBO Max is scheduled to launch this month. The Universal film studio is also at the ready with its streaming service Peacock and wants to make go live this July. Not to mention the streaming giants Netflix and Amazon Prime.

What are Apple's chances?

The Apple TV+ offer is good, but just not very large. Disney, for example, also offers original content only, but has about 500 films and 350 series, thanks to strong brands such as Pixar, Star Wars or Marvel.

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Apple is forced to react.

Apple TV+ must adapt to the competition

In this context, reacting means offering more content. Movies and series that aren’t only included in the Video on Demand (VoD) paid service, but are available for free to Apple TV+ subscribers. The model could work similar to Amazon Prime, with third-party series with several seasons often being available for free to prime subscribers. All except for the latest season, which subscribers have to pay for.

Seems like Apple has taken a first step in this direction. At least that’s what the above-mentioned report by Deadline journalist Fleming claims. There hasn’t been an official confirmation.

Fleming reports, however, that Apple has beaten Netflix to the worldwide distribution rights for «Greyhound» – Tom Hanks’ latest film. The commitment is said to cost around 70 million dollars. Whether Sony Pictures, the studio that should have distributed the film for the cinema, will receive a further bonus in addition to this sum – a fee per screening, for instance – remains a matter of speculation right now.

Either way, Sony should be reasonably satisfied with this sum, as «Greyhound» has a production budget of 50 million dollars, without marketing costs. But the marketing costs shouldn’t have been immense. Therefore, the warship film is likely to make the film studio money. Maybe even a profit – no given in times of closed cinemas.

Could the pandemic pave the way for a new era in which more and more movies end up directly in the catalogue of streaming services?

Streaming services instead of cinema – not only since Corona

It’s hard to estimate the effects of the Corona crisis on Hollywood, cinema distributors and cinema chains. But it’s definitely not the first time that a streaming service replaces a cinema.

Netflix, for example. Two years ago, the Californian streaming company bought the distribution rights to Andy Serki's «Mowgli» for 100 million dollars – starring Benedict Cumberbatch and Christian Bale, among others. A year earlier, Netflix splashed out on acquiring «Ex Machina» maker Alex Garland's «Annihilation» – starring Natalie Portman.

The strategy is a kind of win-win-win situation for the studio, streaming service and viewers. Why? Released so shortly after Disney's gigantic success with the real-life adaptation of «The Jungle Book», Andy Serki's «Mowgli» was doomed to failure. And Garland probably would have been restricted to showing «Annihilation» in the USA only, because it was such a box office flop in the USA that no distributor wanted to sell the film in Europe.

And last year, Netflix «saved» Martin Scorsese's «The Irishman»: the film was supposed to have been produced by Paramount Pictures. Because Scorsese's movie «Silence» had been a box office failure and Paramount wasn’t prepared to take the risk of another flop, Netflix jumped into the breach – with a budget of 140 million dollars. Although the film didn’t win any Oscars, it was nominated for ten.

As you see, there are enough examples for Apple TV+ to follow.

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